Multivariate rotated ARCH models

Noureldin D, Shephard N, Sheppard K

This paper introduces a new class of multivariate volatility models which is easy to estimate using covariance targeting, even with rich dynamics. We call them rotated ARCH (RARCH) models. The basic structure is to rotate the returns and then to fit them using a BEKK-type parameterization of the time-varying covariance whose long-run covariance is the identity matrix. The extension to DCC-type parameterizations is given, introducing the rotated conditional correlation (RCC) model. Inference for these mdoels is computationally attractive, and the asymptotics are standard. The techniques are illustrated using data on some SJIA stocks.

Keywords:

RCC

,

common persistence

,

RARCH

,

covariance targeting

,

multivariate volatility

,

empirical Bayes

,

predictive likelihood