From: Subject: FT.com / Letters - Focus must be kept on keys to earlier vaccine successes Date: Fri, 24 Jun 2005 19:55:54 +0100 MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: multipart/related; boundary="----=_NextPart_000_0000_01C578F6.BAE78470"; type="text/html" X-MimeOLE: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V6.00.2800.1441 This is a multi-part message in MIME format. ------=_NextPart_000_0000_01C578F6.BAE78470 Content-Type: text/html; charset="utf-8" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Content-Location: http://news.ft.com/cms/s/1e969700-e44e-11d9-a754-00000e2511c8.html =EF=BB=BF FT.com / Letters - = Focus must be kept on keys to earlier vaccine successes
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Fro= m=20 Mr Andrew Farlow.

=

Sir, Andrew Jack ("Rich world divided over health of poor", = June 17) is=20 right to state that there is an intense debate about how best to = find=20 cures for mass killer diseases, and the role of "advance purchase=20 commitments" (APCs), even if some, such as Owen Barder (Letters, = June 21),=20 argue that this debate is all over.

There is a "clear consensus" that both public and private = players are=20 needed, but manipulating this to support APCs for HIV, malaria and = tuberculosis vaccines, and the associated finance and intellectual = property arrangements, as Mr Barder does on behalf of the Center = for=20 Global Development (CGD), is to stretch the notion of "consensus". = Until=20 poor nations become rich enough to emulate rich nation markets, = CGD-style=20 APCs amount to committees controlling large pots of publicly = provided=20 subsidy, with disbursement across companies and "eligible" = countries a=20 long time after investments have been sunk. There is a = consensus=20 that committees are not especially good at such things. They would = be=20 incapable of setting contract terms for vaccines a long time in = advance=20 that did not risk heavy revision later, struggle to provide = incentives for=20 "quality" and follow-on innovation, fail to ensure long-term = supply and=20 affordability given the lack of competition and access to = intellectual=20 property and know-how at critical stages, and generate high = investment=20 risk for biotechs and reputational risk for large pharmaceutical=20 companies. In sum, APCs would fail to replicate many standard = features of=20 markets, yet companies would face a great deal of risk.

That APCs are potentially a powerful mechanism for HIV and = malaria=20 vaccines is based on hearsay. APCs have never been used for = anything=20 before, and investigating their "potential power" has been = assiduously=20 avoided by their promoters.

As Mr Jack observes, the argument that without CGD-style APCs, = vaccines=20 would remain "stuck in the pipeline" runs counter to evidence. Ten = to 15=20 potential malaria vaccines are working their way through = initiatives such=20 as the European Malaria Vaccine Initiative, and there is a = respectable=20 case to be made that properly funding these and similar = initiatives, and=20 basic research into vaccines, would generate a result much more = quickly=20 and efficiently than setting up a committee to drive everything = through a=20 complicated and risky APC at the end.

Keys to past vaccine successes in developing countries were the = presence of large procurement funds, access to technology and = know-how,=20 good regulatory standards in emerging economies, competition and = low=20 production costs and prices. All emphasis needs to be on purchase = funds=20 with these features, as part of a larger package of measures, and = not on=20 the entirely different APC instruments that Mr Barder and the CGD = are=20 heavily promoting.

Andrew Farlow, Tutor in Economics, Oriel College, University of = Oxford,=20 Oxford OX1 4EW, UK

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} .allWideBdGrey { FONT-SIZE: 13px } .allWideBdGreyNoHov { FONT-SIZE: 13px } .allWideDB { FONT-SIZE: 13px } .allWideWt { FONT-SIZE: 13px } .allWideWtBd { FONT-SIZE: 13px } .blueLink { FONT-SIZE: 13px } .redLink { FONT-SIZE: 13px } .redLinkBd { FONT-SIZE: 13px } .redLinkNU { FONT-SIZE: 13px } .redLinkBdNU { FONT-SIZE: 13px } .smallHeadline { FONT-SIZE: 13px } .smallHeadlineUnderline { FONT-SIZE: 13px } .dateGrey { FONT-SIZE: 13px } .dateGreyBold { FONT-SIZE: 13px } .date { FONT-SIZE: 12px } .dateGreySmall { FONT-SIZE: 12px } .all { FONT-SIZE: 12px } .link { FONT-SIZE: 12px } .allBold { FONT-SIZE: 12px } .allRed { FONT-SIZE: 12px } .allBlue { FONT-SIZE: 12px } .allGreen { FONT-SIZE: 12px } .allDB { FONT-SIZE: 12px } .allWhite { FONT-SIZE: 12px } .allWhiteNU { FONT-SIZE: 12px } .promo { FONT-SIZE: 12px } .promoBold { FONT-SIZE: 12px } .smallRed { FONT-SIZE: 12px } .smallRedLN { FONT-SIZE: 12px } .shlRead { FONT-SIZE: 12px } .smallGold { FONT-SIZE: 11px } .footer { FONT-SIZE: 11px } .footerRed { FONT-SIZE: 11px } .footerGreen { FONT-SIZE: 11px } .imageCap { FONT-SIZE: 11px } .footerWhite { FONT-SIZE: 10px } } UL.noindent { PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; LIST-STYLE-POSITION: inside; = PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; MARGIN: 0px; PADDING-TOP: 0px } UL.picleft { PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; LIST-STYLE-POSITION: inside; = PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 0px 1.25em; PADDING-TOP: 0px } UL.noindent LI { MARGIN: 0px } UL.picleft LI { MARGIN: 0px } UL.ind { PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 10px; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; MARGIN: = 0px 0px 0px 10px; PADDING-TOP: 0px } LI.spaced { MARGIN-TOP: 6px; MARGIN-BOTTOM: 6px } .theForm { MARGIN: 0px } .vscQuery { FONT-WEIGHT: normal; FONT-SIZE: 11px; WIDTH: 88px; COLOR: #000; = FONT-FAMILY: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif } .namePassword { FONT-WEIGHT: normal; FONT-SIZE: 11px; WIDTH: 68px; COLOR: #000; = FONT-FAMILY: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif } BODY { BORDER-TOP-WIDTH: 0px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; = 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PADDING-LEFT: 0px; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; MARGIN: = 0px; PADDING-TOP: 0px; LIST-STYLE-TYPE: none } #navLinks LI A { PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; DISPLAY: block; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-BOTTOM: = 1px; WIDTH: 129px; COLOR: #900; PADDING-TOP: 1px; BORDER-BOTTOM: #fff = 1px solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ffe9d1; TEXT-DECORATION: none; = voice-family: inherit } UNKNOWN { WIDTH: 129px } #navLinks LI A:hover { COLOR: #fff; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #900 } #navLinks LI.subNavTitle A { PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; COLOR: #fff; BORDER-BOTTOM: #900 1px solid; = BACKGROUND-COLOR: #900 } #navLinks LI.subNav A { PADDING-LEFT: 10px; FONT-WEIGHT: normal; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; WIDTH: = 124px; BORDER-BOTTOM: #fc9 1px solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #fc9; = voice-family: inherit } UNKNOWN { WIDTH: 124px } #navLinks LI.subNav A:hover { PADDING-LEFT: 10px; BORDER-BOTTOM: #c66 1px solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: = #c66 } #navLinks LI.subNavS A { PADDING-LEFT: 10px; FONT-WEIGHT: normal; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; WIDTH: = 124px; COLOR: #fff; BORDER-BOTTOM: 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bold; FONT-SIZE: = 12px; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; MARGIN: 0px; COLOR: #990000; PADDING-TOP: = 0px; FONT-FAMILY: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif } .gen UL.nospaceul { PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 8px; PADDING-BOTTOM: 4px; MARGIN: 0px = 0px 4px 8px; PADDING-TOP: 0px } UNKNOWN { MARGIN-TOP: -11px! important; MARGIN-LEFT: -332px; POSITION: absolute! = important; HEIGHT: 22px! important } UNKNOWN { MARGIN-LEFT: auto } ------=_NextPart_000_0000_01C578F6.BAE78470 Content-Type: text/css; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Content-Location: http://news.ft.com/CSS/Common/p_lhn.css UL.lhn { BORDER-RIGHT: #999999 1px solid; BORDER-TOP: #999999 1px solid; = DISPLAY: block; BORDER-LEFT: #999999 1px solid; WIDTH: 137px; = BORDER-BOTTOM: 0px } UL.sub { BORDER-RIGHT: #999999 1px solid; BORDER-TOP: #999999 1px solid; = Z-INDEX: 99; LEFT: 0px; VISIBILITY: hidden; BORDER-LEFT: #999999 1px = solid; WIDTH: 139px; BORDER-BOTTOM: #999999 1px solid; POSITION: = absolute; TOP: 0px } UL.remaining { BORDER-RIGHT: 0px; BORDER-TOP: 0px; MARGIN-BOTTOM: 10px! important; = BORDER-LEFT: 0px; BORDER-BOTTOM: 0px } UL.lhn { FONT-WEIGHT: bold; FONT-SIZE: 11px; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Arial, = Helvetica, sans-serif } UL.lhn A { FONT-WEIGHT: bold; FONT-SIZE: 11px; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Arial, = Helvetica, sans-serif } UL.lhn A { PADDING-BOTTOM: 1px } UL.lhn UL.expanded A { PADDING-BOTTOM: 1px } UL.lhn UL.suboption { PADDING-BOTTOM: 1px } UL.lhn A IMG { PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; BORDER-TOP: #ccccce 1px solid; DISPLAY: block; = PADDING-LEFT: 0px; BORDER-LEFT-WIDTH: 0px; BORDER-BOTTOM-WIDTH: 0px; = PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px 0px -11px; PADDING-TOP: 0px; = BORDER-RIGHT-WIDTH: 0px } UL.leftnavad-style2 A { PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px } UL.lhn A { DISPLAY: block; PADDING-LEFT: 11px; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ffffff 1px solid; = POSITION: relative; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #e7e2db } UL.sub A { PADDING-LEFT: 11px! important } UL.lhn A.lastitem { BORDER-BOTTOM: #999999 1px dashed } UL.lhn UL.expanded A.lastitem { BORDER-BOTTOM-WIDTH: 0px } UL.lhn UL.suboption A { DISPLAY: inline; PADDING-LEFT: 0px } UL.lhn A:link { TEXT-DECORATION: none } UL.lhn A:visited { TEXT-DECORATION: none } UL.lhn A:active { TEXT-DECORATION: none } UL.lhn A:hover { TEXT-DECORATION: none } UL.lhn UL.suboption LI A:hover { FONT-WEIGHT: normal; COLOR: #990000! important; BACKGROUND-COLOR: = #f6f2ee; TEXT-DECORATION: underline! important } UL.lhn UL.suboption LI A:active { FONT-WEIGHT: normal; COLOR: #990000! important; BACKGROUND-COLOR: = #f6f2ee; TEXT-DECORATION: underline! important } UL.lhn UL.expanded A { PADDING-LEFT: 19px; FONT-WEIGHT: normal; BORDER-BOTTOM: white 1px = solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #f0f0e8 } UL.lhn UL.suboption { PADDING-LEFT: 19px; FONT-WEIGHT: normal; BORDER-BOTTOM: white 1px = solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #f0f0e8 } UL.lhn UL.expanded UL.expanded A { BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0e8 1px solid; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ffffff } UL.sub A { FONT-WEIGHT: normal; BORDER-BOTTOM: #ffe9d1 1px solid } UL.sub A.lastitem { BORDER-BOTTOM: 0px } UL.lhn UL.expanded UL.expanded A { PADDING-LEFT: 28px } UL.lhn A.highlight-flyout { COLOR: #ffffff! important; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #990000 } UL.lhn UL.expanded A.highlight-flyout { COLOR: #ffffff! important; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #990000 } UL.lhn A.selected-flyout { COLOR: #ffffff! important; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #990000 } UL.lhn UL.expanded A.selected-flyout { COLOR: #ffffff! important; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #990000 } UL.lhn A.highlight { COLOR: #ffffff! important; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #990000 } UL.lhn A.highlight-selected { COLOR: #ffffff! important; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #990000 } UL.lhn A.selected { COLOR: #ffffff! important; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #990000 } UL.lhn UL.expanded A.highlight { FONT-WEIGHT: normal; COLOR: #ffffff; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #990000 } UL.lhn UL.expanded UL.expanded A.highlight { FONT-WEIGHT: normal; COLOR: #ffffff; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #990000 } UL.lhn UL.expanded UL.expanded A.selected { FONT-WEIGHT: normal; COLOR: #ffffff; BACKGROUND-COLOR: 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