Janine Aron
D.Phil., University of Oxford
James Martin Fellow, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School and Research Fellow, Centre for the Study of African Economies and Associate Member, Nuffield College, Oxford (From January 2011)
College or Institution: CSAE (Centre for the Study of African Economies)
Email address: .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address)
Research Interests
Summary: International economics, monetary economics, applied macroconometrics on the South African economy.
My research focus is monetary and exchange rate policy and macroeconomics in South Africa (SA). I hold a British Academy Research Development Award (BARDA), examining the policy challenge of volatile exchange rates under inflation targeting in SA, which involves significant collaboration with the South African Reserve Bank and two SA Universities. Ongoing SA research, with John Muellbauer and others, includes building multi-equation models of the inflation process in SA; estimating both aggregate and novel disaggregated models for forecasting inflation in SA and USA; the econometric evaluation of monetary policy under inflation targeting in SA; econometric modelling of disaggregated capital flows; and the construction of personal wealth data and their use in modelling consumption, debt and money demand. I recently co-edited a book on SA economic policy under democracy, published in 2009 with Oxford University Press. I am also modelling and forecasting UK mortgage defaults and foreclosures on an aggregate and regional basis, with John Muellbauer, through the ESRC's Spatial Economic Research Centre.
Courses Taught at the University
Note: These web-links are only available within the University
Research Group(s)
Recent Working Papers
- Wealth, Credit Conditions and Consumption: Evidence from South Africa (2011)
- Modelling and Forecasting UK Mortgage Arrears and Possessions (2010)
- Credit, Housing Collateral and Consumption: Evidence from the UK, Japan and the US (2010)
- Some Issues in Modeling and Forecasting Inflation in South Africa (2009)
- Monetary Policy and Inflation Modeling in a more Open Economy in South Africa (2008)
- Multi-sector inflation forecasting - quarterly models for South Africa (2008)
- New methods for forecasting inflation and its sub-components: application to the USA (2008)
- Inflation dynamics and trade openness: with an application to South Africa (2007)
- Fiscal Renaissance in a Democratic South Africa (2007)
- Towards Official Balance Sheet Estimates for South Africa`s Household Sector (2006)
- see more working papers by this author
Other Web Sites:
- Biography and Papers
- RePEc/IDEAS
- CEPR papers with John Muellbauer
- Spatial Economics Research
- The South African Macroeconomic Research Programme
- Centre for Research into Economics & Finance in Southern Africa
- VOXEU
- Nuffield College
- Oxford Martin School
- South African Economic Policy Under Democracy
Category: Researchers